Iran downplays renewed U.S. war risk as Gulf ceasefire strains

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard says a return to war with the U.S. is unlikely — but the Gulf ceasefire still looks fragile. New U.S. sanctions, reported strikes, and fresh security alerts mean traders are not treating “low risk” as “no risk.” For drivers, shipping lanes, and oil markets, even a calmer headline can still arrive with a security premium.